Wednesday, July 18, 2018

Chasing 50-50 071818

This is the seventh year of my Chasing 50-50 segment. It started six seasons ago as we followed Matt Kemp the Dodgers in his self proclaimed attempt to hit 50 home runs and 50 stolen bases. The 2018 season is at the All Star break and we'll check out those with the power\speed combo. Added Jose Ramirez of the Indians, Mookie Betts and Andrew Benintendi of the Red Sox, Javier Baez of the Cubs, Trevor Story of the Rockies, Didi Gregorius of the Yankees and Christian Yelich of the Marlins in week 13. As long as he is playing Kemp will always be part of this.

Matt Kemp

This week: 0 HR, 0 SB
This season he is hitting .310/.352/.522 with 15 HR, 60 RBI, 42 R, 0 SB in 92 games

Games Dodgers played: 96

Home Runs: 15  --- Projected Home Runs: 25

Steals: 0 --- Projected Steals: 0


Mike Trout

This week: 0 HR, 1 SB
This season he is hitting .310/.454/.606 with 25 HR, 50 RBI, 71 R, 15 SB in 97 games

Games Angels played: 97

Home Runs: 25  --- Projected Home Runs: 42

Steals: 15 --- Projected Steals: 25


AJ Pollock

This week: 0 HR, 0 SB
This season he is hitting .285/.348/.575 with 12 HR, 38 RBI, 26 R, 9 SB in 52 games

Games Diamondbacks played: 97

Home Runs: 12  --- Projected Home Runs: 20

Steals: 9 --- Projected Steals: 15


Francisco Lindor

This week: 1 HR, 1 SB
This season he is hitting .291/.367/.562 with 25 HR, 62 RBI, 85 R, 13 SB in 94 games

Games Indians played: 97

Home Runs: 25  --- Projected Home Runs: 42

Steals: 13 --- Projected Steals: 22


Jose Ramirez

This week: 4 HR, 1 SB
This season he is hitting .302/.401/.628 with 29 HR, 70 RBI, 68 R, 20 SB in 94 games

Games Indians played: 97

Home Runs: 29  --- Projected Home Runs: 48

Steals: 20  --- Projected Steals: 33


Tim Anderson

This week: 0 HR, 0 SB
This season he is hitting .246/.302/.414 with 13 HR, 39 RBI, 51 R, 21 SB in 92 games

Games White Sox played: 95

Home Runs: 13  --- Projected Home Runs: 22

Steals: 21 --- Projected Steals: 36


Starling Marte

This week: 3 HR, 2 SB
This season he is hitting .285/.333/.480 with 13 HR, 44 RBI, 52 R, 25 SB in 85 games

Games Pirates played: 97

Home Runs: 13  --- Projected Home Runs: 22

Steals: 25 --- Projected Steals: 42


Tommy Pham

This week: 0 HR, 0 SB
This season he is hitting .243/.326/.396 with 13 HR, 35 RBI, 60 R, 9 SB in 87 games

Games Cardinals played: 94

Home Runs: 13  --- Projected Home Runs: 22

Steals: 9--- Projected Steals: 16


Mookie Betts

This week: 1 HR, 2 SB
This season he is hitting .359/.448/.691 with 23 HR, 51 RBI, 79 R, 18 SB in 78 games

Games Red Sox played: 98

Home Runs: 23  --- Projected Home Runs: 38

Steals: 16--- Projected Steals: 26


Andrew Benintendi

This week: 0 HR, 0 SB
This season he is hitting .297/.380/.517 with 14 HR, 57 RBI, 68 R, 17 SB in 91 games

Games Red Sox played: 98

Home Runs: 14  --- Projected Home Runs: 23

Steals: 17--- Projected Steals: 28


Javier Baez

This week: 2 HR, 1 SB
This season he is hitting .292/.326/.566 with 19 HR, 72 RBI, 61 R, 18 SB in 91 games

Games Cubs played: 93

Home Runs: 19  --- Projected Home Runs: 33

Steals: 18--- Projected Steals: 31


Trevor Story

This week: 3 HR, 1 SB
This season he is hitting .292/.353/.557 with 20 HR, 68 RBI, 50 R, 12 SB in 95 games

Games Rockies played: 96

Home Runs: 20  --- Projected Home Runs: 34

Steals: 12--- Projected Steals: 20


Didi Gregorius

This week: 2 HR, 0 SB
This season he is hitting .263/.326/.474 with 17 HR, 52 RBI, 58 R, 10 SB in 90 games

Games Yankees played: 95

Home Runs: 17  --- Projected Home Runs: 29

Steals: 10--- Projected Steals: 17


Christian Yelich

This week: 0 HR, 0 SB
This season he is hitting .292/.364/.459 with 11 HR, 43 RBI, 60 R, 12 SB in 82 games

Games Brewers played: 98

Home Runs: 11  --- Projected Home Runs: 18

Steals: 12--- Projected Steals: 20

Tuesday, July 17, 2018

Royals spiral

This season has been difficult as a fan of the Kansas City Royals. At the All Star break they are already digging the hole and carving the tombstone for the 2018 season. But how deep a hole are they digging for themselves the rest of the season?

My latest Ghost of 62 segment shows them at the bottom of the MLB looking up at the All Star break. The Baltimore Orioles are right there with them and initially appear to be worse because they play in the AL East with the two teams with the best records this year in the Boston Red Sox and New York Yankees. Yet the Royals lack of accomplishment has been in the AL Central where the Chicago White Sox and Detroit Tigers are also among the bottom six in the MLB and the Cleveland Indians have the fewest wins of any division leader.

The headlines the past couple weeks give constant updates how the Orioles are about to trade away their best player Manny Machado. The fire sale looming at Kauffman Stadium will soon have Dayton Moore on tv like a used car saleman as every one must go. I have faith in Moore because he was the mastermind behind the original Royals rebuild that garnered the World Series Championship only three seasons ago. The trades he made that season were the right ones to make that Championship run getting rentals like Cueto and Zobrist. Now it is about making the right trades to build for the future. 

The question will be how bad will the Royals be after that fire sale? The depths they plummet to the rest of the 2018 could be historical. 

Ghost of 62 071718

The reference in the title is the 1962 Mets who are regarded as the worst of the Modern Era for all teams after 1900. The team finished 40-120 and 60.5 games back. For the season the team hit .240/.318/.361 and scored 617 runs which was 3.8 per game. The team ERA was 5.04 and they gave up 948 runs or 5.9 per game.

This is the fifth year of this series where each week I will check in on the MLB teams with the worst win-loss records and how they measure up to 1962. This is the first segment of the 2018 season as the cellar dwellers established themselves well before the All-Star break. Last year I placed the cut off as teams that have won less than 45 percent of their games. The nine teams entering the All Star break are the Kansas City Royals, Baltimore Orioles, Chicago White Sox, San Diego Padres, New York Mets, Detroit Tigers, Miami Marlins, Texas Rangers and Cincinnati Reds.

The Royals are 27-68, 25.0 games back and 2-8 over their last ten games. That projects to 46-116. The team is hitting .239/.299/.368 and have scored 337 which is 3.5 per game. Their team ERA is 5.40 and have given up 530 runs or 5.6 per game.

The Orioles are 28-69, 39.5 games back and 4-6 over their last ten games. That projects to 47-115. The team is hitting .227/.290/.379 and have scored 345 which is 3.6 per game. Their team ERA is 4.87 and have given up 504 runs or 5.2 per game.

The White Sox are 33-62, 19.0 games back and 3-7 over their last ten games. That projects to 56-106. The team is hitting .244/.303/.402 and have scored 384 which is 4.0 per game. Their team ERA is 4.92 and have given up 510 runs or 5.4 per game.

The Padres are 40-59, 14.5 games back and 2-8 over their last ten games. That projects to 65-97. The team is hitting .232/.298/.368 and have scored 365 which is 3.7 per game. Their team ERA is 4.29 and have given up 465 runs or 4.7 per game.

The Mets are 39-55, 13.5 games back and 4-6 over their last ten games. That projects to 67-95. The team is hitting .228/.307/.378 and have scored 363 which is 3.9 per game. Their team ERA is 4.29 and have given up 431 runs or 4.6 per game.

The Tigers are 41-57, 12.5 games back and 3-7 over their last ten games. That projects to 68-94. The team is hitting .245/.303/.386 and have scored 386 which is 3.9 per game. Their team ERA is 4.42 and have given up 456 runs or 4.7 per game.

The Marlins are 41-57, 13.5 games back and 5-5 over their last ten games. That projects to 68-94. The team is hitting .246/.313/.368 and have scored 376 which is 3.8 per game. Their team ERA is 4.74 and have given up 491 runs or 5.0 per game.

The Rangers are 41-56, 22.0 games back and 3-7 over their last ten games. That projects to 69-93. The team is hitting .236/.319/.395 and have scored 424 which is 4.4 per game. Their team ERA is 4.61 and have given up 487 runs or 5.0 per game.

The Reds are 43-53, 13.5 games back and 6-4 over their last ten games. That projects to 73-89. The team is hitting .260/.341/.405 and have scored 461 which is 4.8 per game. Their team ERA is 4.69 and have given up 493 runs or 5.1 per game.

Wednesday, July 11, 2018

Chasing 50-50 071118

This is the seventh year of my Chasing 50-50 segment. It started six seasons ago as we followed Matt Kemp the Dodgers in his self proclaimed attempt to hit 50 home runs and 50 stolen bases. The 2018 season enters week 15 and we'll check out those with the power\speed combo. Adding Jose Ramirez of the Indians, Mookie Betts and Andrew Benintendi of the Red Sox, Javier Baez of the Cubs, Trevor Story of the Rockies, Didi Gregorius of the Yankees and Christian Yelich of the Marlins in week 13. As long as he is playing Kemp will always be part of this.

Matt Kemp

This week: 0 HR, 0 SB
This season he is hitting .312/.354/.538 with 15 HR, 58 RBI, 41 R, 0 SB in 87 games

Games Dodgers played: 91

Home Runs: 15  --- Projected Home Runs: 27

Steals: 0 --- Projected Steals: 0


Mike Trout

This week: 1 HR, 1 SB
This season he is hitting .314/.457/.656 with 25 HR, 50 RBI, 68 R, 14 SB in 92 games

Games Angels played: 92

Home Runs: 25  --- Projected Home Runs: 44

Steals: 14 --- Projected Steals: 25


AJ Pollock

This week: 1 HR, 0 SB
This season he is hitting .287/.351/.596 with 12 HR, 37 RBI, 26 R, 9 SB in 47 games

Games Diamondbacks played: 92

Home Runs: 12  --- Projected Home Runs: 21

Steals: 9 --- Projected Steals: 16


Francisco Lindor

This week: 1 HR, 2 SB
This season he is hitting .296/.370/.568 with 24 HR, 59 RBI, 80 R, 12 SB in 89 games

Games Indians played: 90

Home Runs: 24  --- Projected Home Runs: 43

Steals: 12 --- Projected Steals: 22


Jose Ramirez

This week: 1 HR, 4 SB
This season he is hitting .290/.391/.592 with 25 HR, 60 RBI, 61 R, 19 SB in 89 games

Games Indians played: 90

Home Runs: 25  --- Projected Home Runs: 45

Steals: 19 --- Projected Steals: 34


Tim Anderson

This week: 0 HR, 3 SB
This season he is hitting .246/.304/.416 with 13 HR, 35 RBI, 49 R, 21 SB in 88 games

Games White Sox played: 91

Home Runs: 13  --- Projected Home Runs: 23

Steals: 21 --- Projected Steals: 38


Starling Marte

This week: 1 HR, 5 SB
This season he is hitting .282/.332/.460 with 10 HR, 38 RBI, 47 R, 23 SB in 79 games

Games Pirates played: 91

Home Runs: 10  --- Projected Home Runs: 18

Steals: 23 --- Projected Steals: 41


Tommy Pham

This week: 0 HR, 0 SB
This season he is hitting .246/.331/.405 with 13 HR, 33 RBI, 59 R, 9 SB in 83 games

Games Cardinals played: 90

Home Runs: 13  --- Projected Home Runs: 23

Steals: 9--- Projected Steals: 16


Mookie Betts

This week: 1 HR, 1 SB
This season he is hitting .346/.435/.675 with 22 HR, 44 RBI, 74 R, 16 SB in 73 games

Games Red Sox played: 93

Home Runs: 22  --- Projected Home Runs: 38

Steals: 16--- Projected Steals: 28


Andrew Benintendi

This week: 1 HR, 1 SB
This season he is hitting .298/.383/.523 with 14 HR, 57 RBI, 67 R, 17 SB in 89 games

Games Red Sox played: 93

Home Runs: 14  --- Projected Home Runs: 24

Steals: 17--- Projected Steals: 30


Javier Baez

This week: 1 HR, 4 SB
This season he is hitting .291/.326/.557 with 17 HR, 65 RBI, 56 R, 17 SB in 87 games

Games Cubs played: 89

Home Runs: 17  --- Projected Home Runs: 31

Steals: 17--- Projected Steals: 31


Trevor Story

This week: 1 HR, 1 SB
This season he is hitting .286/.349/.535 with 17 HR, 62 RBI, 45 R, 11 SB in 90 games

Games Rockies played: 91

Home Runs: 17  --- Projected Home Runs: 30

Steals: 11--- Projected Steals: 20


Didi Gregorius

This week: 0 HR, 1 SB
This season he is hitting .261/.324/.462 with 15 HR, 48 RBI, 53 R, 10 SB in 85 games

Games Yankees played: 90

Home Runs: 15  --- Projected Home Runs: 27

Steals: 10--- Projected Steals: 18


Christian Yelich

This week: 0 HR, 2 SB
This season he is hitting .292/.366/.467 with 11 HR, 40 RBI, 57 R, 12 SB in 76 games

Games Brewers played: 92

Home Runs: 11  --- Projected Home Runs: 19

Steals: 12--- Projected Steals: 21

Tuesday, July 10, 2018

Ghost of 62 071018

The reference in the title is the 1962 Mets who are regarded as the worst of the Modern Era for all teams after 1900. The team finished 40-120 and 60.5 games back. For the season the team hit .240/.318/.361 and scored 617 runs which was 3.8 per game. The team ERA was 5.04 and they gave up 948 runs or 5.9 per game.

This is the fifth year of this series where each week I will check in on the MLB teams with the worst win-loss records and how they measure up to 1962. This is the first segment of the 2018 season as the cellar dwellers established themselves well before the All-Star break. Last year I placed the cut off as teams that have won less than 45 percent of their games. The nine teams entering week 15 are the Baltimore Orioles, Kansas City Royals, Chicago White Sox, Miami Marlins, New York Mets, San Diego Padres, Detroit Tigers, Texas Rangers and Cincinnati Reds.

The Orioles are 25-66, 37.5 games back and 2-8 over their last ten games. That projects to 45-117. The team is hitting .227/.291/.380 and have scored 324 which is 3.6 per game. Their team ERA is 4.89 and have given up 475 runs or 5.2 per game.

The Royals are 25-65, 24.5 games back and 0-10 over their last ten games. That projects to 45-117. The team is hitting .238/.298/.363 and have scored 311 which is 3.5 per game. Their team ERA is 5.33 and have given up 499 runs or 5.5 per game.

The White Sox are 30-60, 19.5 games back and 2-8 over their last ten games. That projects to 54-108. The team is hitting .243/.302/.401 and have scored 359 which is 4.0 per game. Their team ERA is 4.93 and have given up 484 runs or 5.4 per game.

The Marlins are 38-55, 14.0 games back and 5-5 over their last ten games. That projects to 66-96. The team is hitting .246/.313/.370 and have scored 355 which is 3.8 per game. Their team ERA is 4.82 and have given up 472 runs or 5.1 per game.

The Mets are 36-52, 13.5 games back and 3-7 over their last ten games. That projects to 66-96. The team is hitting .228/.307/.379 and have scored 341 which is 3.9 per game. Their team ERA is 4.31 and have given up 407 runs or 4.6 per game.

The Padres are 39-54, 12.0 games back and 3-7 over their last ten games. That projects to 68-94. The team is hitting .232/.297/.366 and have scored 343 which is 3.7 per game. Their team ERA is 4.28 and have given up 434 runs or 4.7 per game.

The Tigers are 40-53, 11.0 games back and 4-6 over their last ten games. That projects to 70-92. The team is hitting .248/.307/.390 and have scored 375 which is 4.0 per game. Their team ERA is 4.38 and have given up 432 runs or 4.6 per game.

The Rangers are 40-52, 20.5 games back and 4-6 over their last ten games. That projects to 70-92. The team is hitting .237/.319/.397 and have scored 408 which is 4.4 per game. Their team ERA is 4.61 and have given up 464 runs or 5.0 per game.

The Reds are 40-51, 14.0 games back and 6-4 over their last ten games. That projects to 71-91. The team is hitting .258/.338/.403 and have scored 429 which is 4.7 per game. Their team ERA is 4.66 and have given up 461 runs or 5.1 per game.

Wednesday, June 27, 2018

Chasing 50-50 062718

This is the seventh year of my Chasing 50-50 segment. It started six seasons ago as we followed Matt Kemp the Dodgers in his self proclaimed attempt to hit 50 home runs and 50 stolen bases. The 2018 season enters week 13 and we'll check out those with the power\speed combo. Adding Jose Ramirez of the Indians, Mookie Betts and Andrew Benintendi of the Red Sox, Javier Baez of the Cubs, Trevor Story of the Rockies, Didi Gregorius of the Yankees and Christian Yelich of the Marlins in week 13. As long as he is playing Kemp will always be part of this.

Matt Kemp

This week: 1 HR, 0 SB
This season he is hitting .311/.351/.539 with 13 HR, 47 RBI, 34 R, 0 SB in 76 games

Games Dodgers played: 78

Home Runs: 13  --- Projected Home Runs: 27

Steals: 0 --- Projected Steals: 0


Mike Trout

This week: 0 HR, 0 SB
This season he is hitting .324/.459/.651 with 23 HR, 48 RBI, 62 R, 13 SB in 80 games

Games Angels played: 80

Home Runs: 23  --- Projected Home Runs: 47

Steals: 13 --- Projected Steals: 26


AJ Pollock

This week: 0 HR, 0 SB (on 10 day DL)
This season he is hitting .293/.349/.620 with 11 HR, 33 RBI, 23 R, 9 SB in 40 games

Games Diamondbacks played: 79

Home Runs: 11  --- Projected Home Runs: 23

Steals: 9 --- Projected Steals: 18


Francisco Lindor

This week: 3 HR, 1 SB
This season he is hitting .292/.367/.545 with 19 HR, 44 RBI, 64 R, 10 SB in 77 games

Games Indians played: 78

Home Runs: 19  --- Projected Home Runs: 39

Steals: 10 --- Projected Steals: 21


Jose Ramirez

This week: 2 HR, 3 SB
This season he is hitting .292/.398/.605 with 23 HR, 52 RBI, 55 R, 12 SB in 77 games

Games Indians played: 78

Home Runs: 23  --- Projected Home Runs: 48

Steals: 12 --- Projected Steals: 25


Tim Anderson

This week: 2 HR, 1 SB
This season he is hitting .244/.307/.435 with 13 HR, 32 RBI, 42 R, 15 SB in 76 games

Games White Sox played: 78

Home Runs: 13  --- Projected Home Runs: 27

Steals: 15 --- Projected Steals: 31


Starling Marte

This week: 0 HR, 3 SB
This season he is hitting .267/.321/.447 with 9 HR, 34 RBI, 41 R, 16 SB in 68 games

Games Pirates played: 79

Home Runs: 9  --- Projected Home Runs: 18

Steals: 16 --- Projected Steals: 33


Tommy Pham

This week: 0 HR, 0 SB
This season he is hitting .252/.330/.420 with 12 HR, 26 RBI, 54 R, 9 SB in 72 games

Games Cardinals played: 78

Home Runs: 12  --- Projected Home Runs: 25

Steals: 9--- Projected Steals: 19


Mookie Betts

This week: 2 HR, 0 SB
This season he is hitting .338/.424/.688 with 20 HR, 41 RBI, 60 R, 14 SB in 60 games

Games Red Sox played: 80

Home Runs: 20  --- Projected Home Runs: 41

Steals: 14--- Projected Steals: 28


Andrew Benintendi

This week: 1 HR, 0 SB
This season he is hitting .290/.374/.522 with 13 HR, 51 RBI, 55 R, 12 SB in 76 games

Games Red Sox played: 80

Home Runs: 13  --- Projected Home Runs: 26

Steals: 12--- Projected Steals: 24


Javier Baez

This week: 2 HR, 1 SB
This season he is hitting .276/.315/.555 with 16 HR, 56 RBI, 45 R, 13 SB in 75 games

Games Cubs played: 77

Home Runs: 16  --- Projected Home Runs: 34

Steals: 13--- Projected Steals: 27


Trevor Story

This week: 0 HR, 1 SB
This season he is hitting .267/.334/.518 with 16 HR, 58 RBI, 42 R, 10 SB in 79 games

Games Rockies played: 79

Home Runs: 16  --- Projected Home Runs: 33

Steals: 10--- Projected Steals: 21


Didi Gregorius

This week: 1 HR, 0 SB
This season he is hitting .259/.330/.478 with 15 HR, 43 RBI, 47 R, 9 SB in 72 games

Games Yankees played: 77

Home Runs: 15  --- Projected Home Runs: 32

Steals: 9--- Projected Steals: 19


Christian Yelich

This week: 2 HR, 1 SB
This season he is hitting .291/.366/.473 with 11 HR, 34 RBI, 52 R, 10 SB in 66 games

Games Brewers played: 78

Home Runs: 11  --- Projected Home Runs: 23

Steals: 10--- Projected Steals: 21

Tuesday, June 26, 2018

Ghost of 62 062618

The reference in the title is the 1962 Mets who are regarded as the worst of the Modern Era for all teams after 1900. The team finished 40-120 and 60.5 games back. For the season the team hit .240/.318/.361 and scored 617 runs which was 3.8 per game. The team ERA was 5.04 and they gave up 948 runs or 5.9 per game.

This is the fifth year of this series where each week I will check in on the MLB teams with the worst win-loss records and how they measure up to 1962. This is the first segment of the 2018 season as the cellar dwellers established themselves well before the All-Star break. Last year I placed the cut off as teams that have won less than 45 percent of their games. The eight teams entering week 13 are the Baltimore Orioles, Kansas City Royals, Chicago White Sox, Miami Marlins, New York Mets, Cincinnati Reds, San Diego Padres and Texas Rangers.

The Orioles are 23-54, 28.5 games back and 4-6 over their last ten games. That projects to 48-114. The team is hitting .226/.292/.379 and have scored 283 which is 3.7 per game. Their team ERA is 4.87 and have given up 398 runs or 5.2 per game.

The Royals are 24-54, 19.5 games back and 2-8 over their last ten games. That projects to 50-112. The team is hitting .239/.302/.367 and have scored 277 which is 3.6 per game. Their team ERA is 5.20 and have given up 426 runs or 5.5 per game.

The White Sox are 26-51, 17.0 games back and 2-8 over their last ten games. That projects to 55-107. The team is hitting .239/.300/.394 and have scored 294 which is 3.8 per game. Their team ERA is 4.72 and have given up 399 runs or 5.2 per game.

The Marlins are 32-47, 14.0 games back and 6-4 over their last ten games. That projects to 66-96. The team is hitting .240/.306/.363 and have scored 292 which is 3.7 per game. Their team ERA is 4.86 and have given up 401 runs or 5.1 per game.

The Mets are 31-45, 13.5 games back and 3-7 over their last ten games. That projects to 66-96. The team is hitting .232/.310/.384 and have scored 303 which is 4.0 per game. Their team ERA is 4.32 and have given up 354 runs or 4.7 per game.

The Reds are 32-46, 13.5 games back and 7-3 over their last ten games. That projects to 66-96. The team is hitting .255/.335/.399 and have scored 350 which is 4.5 per game. Their team ERA is 4.76 and have given up 394 runs or 5.1 per game.

The Padres are 35-46, 10.5 games back and 2-8 over their last ten games. That projects to 70-92. The team is hitting .234/.298/.370 and have scored 304 which is 3.8 per game. Their team ERA is 4.13 and have given up 364 runs or 4.5 per game.

The Rangers are 35-45, 17.0 games back and 8-2 over their last ten games. That projects to 71-91. The team is hitting .234/.318/.391 and have scored 352 which is 4.4 per game. Their team ERA is 4.72 and have given up 412 runs or 5.2 per game.